Florida's 22nd District
U.S. House · Florida
Pia Dandiya held the seat for Democrats, winning by 3.8 points over Casey Askar.
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Askar, against Dandiya | $9.9M | |
| Club for Growth ActionAgainst Askar | $704.8K | |
| CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC.For Askar, against Dandiya | $490.7K | |
| Progressive Turnout ProjectFor Dandiya | $396.3K | |
| Stronger America TogetherAgainst Dandiya | $307.2K | |
| Voter Protection ProjectFor Dandiya | $222.4K | |
| Floridians for AffordabilityFor Dandiya | $219.3K | |
| LCV Victory FundFor Dandiya | $156.7K | |
| HMPFor Dandiya | $101.6K | |
| RISING TIDE COLLECTIVEAgainst Askar | $54K | |
| Building TogetherAgainst Askar | $16.7K | |
| National Association of Realtors Political Action CommitteeFor Askar | $14.3K | |
| MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INCFor Askar | $256 |
Show 5 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Dandiya ahead by 1.4. Dandiya won by 3.8: a 2.4-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Dandiya ahead
- Poll with Askar ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Dandiya | Askar | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research for House Majority PACD-sponsored | Aug 24–Aug 31 | — LV | 46 | 44 | D+2 | D+2.7 | −1.8 | C | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| Tavern Research | Aug 10–Aug 12 | 551 LV | 50 | 50 | Even | R+3.7 | −3.8 | — | 242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Aug 31, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Pia Dandiya
- 58%
- Casey Askar
- 42%
- Projected margin
- D+1.2