2026 election for Arizona Attorney General
Attorney General · Arizona
Kris Mayes (D) won re-election with 55.5% of the vote, defeating Warren Petersen (R) by 11.0 points.
Source: Arizona Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Mayes compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 15 of 15 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Maricopa, +17.6 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 7 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Mayes ahead by 5.9. Mayes won by 11.0: a 5.1-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Mayes ahead
- Poll with Petersen ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Mayes | Petersen | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse for Elijah Norton's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 28–Oct 29 | 500 LV | 49 | 47 | D+2 | D+6.3 | −9.0 | — | x.com ↗ |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Oct 26–Oct 28 | 511 LV | 50 | 46 | D+4 | D+3.9 | −7.0 | A | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
| HighGround, Inc. | Oct 21–Oct 25 | 400 LV | 52 | 41 | D+11 | D+7.8 | 0.0 | B− | azhighground.com ↗ |
| GrayHouse for Elijah Norton's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 18–Oct 20 | 550 LV | 50 | 47 | D+3 | D+7.3 | −8.0 | — | data.ddhq.io ↗ |
| HighGround, Inc. | Oct 6–Oct 8 | 400 LV | 51 | 37 | D+14 | D+12.0 | +3.0 | B− | azhighground.com ↗ |
| GrayHouse for Elijah Norton's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 6–Oct 8 | 550 LV | 48 | 46 | D+2 | D+6.6 | −9.0 | — | grayhouse.com ↗ |
| Global Strategy Group for the Democratic Attorneys General AssociationD-sponsored | Sep 27–Oct 1 | — V | 50 | 43 | D+7 | — | −4.0 | C | dems.ag ↗ |
| Equis Research | Sep 1–Sep 9 | 1,214 RV | 45 | 45 | Even | — | −11.0 | — | weareequis.us ↗ |
| Arizona State University | Aug 18–Sep 4 | 1,300 RV | 42 | 36 | D+6 | — | −5.0 | — | dropbox.com ↗ |
| Next Gen Polling | Aug 17–Aug 19 | 1,627 RV | 37 | 34 | D+3 | — | −8.0 | — | nxtgenp.com ↗ |
| HighGround, Inc. | Aug 15–Aug 18 | 400 LV | 48 | 40 | D+8 | — | −3.0 | B− | azhighground.com ↗ |
| GrayHouseR-sponsored | Aug 11–Aug 13 | 600 LV | 47 | 46 | D+1 | — | −10.0 | — | x.com ↗ |
| Stealth Analytics | Aug 11–Aug 13 | 530 LV | 41 | 38 | D+3 | — | −8.0 | — | stealth-analytics.com ↗ |
| Noble Predictive Insights | Aug 10–Aug 13 | 923 LV | 44 | 38 | D+6 | — | −5.0 | A | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research for AARP | Jul 26–Jul 28 | 913 LV | 48 | 43 | D+5 | — | −6.0 | B | aarp.org ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 29, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Kris Mayes
- 90%
- Warren Petersen
- 10%
- Projected margin
- D+7.0
The candidates
Incumbent attorney general (2023–present)Warren Petersen (R)
President of the Arizona Senate (2023–present) from the 14th district (2017–2019, 2021–present)
Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.1%; Unassigned Write-in (Other party), 0.0%
Also on this ballot here
| Governor | D+13.1 |
| Secretary of State | D+11.2 |
| Treasurer | D+7.7 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Arizona Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET