WPA Intelligence
WPA Intelligence has 33 polls in our database and is rated on 19 past polls scored against results (1998–2024).
Rated polls
191998–2024
Average miss
6.5All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
R+2.9Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
68%Of rated polls
Last poll
Oct 18, 20242024 California's 47th congressional district election (2024)
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
19 rated polls; misses beyond 20 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | 6 | 7.7 | 5.5 | D+2.1 | 50% |
| Governor | 5 | 4.5 | 5.7 | R+2.5 | 60% |
| House | 5 | 9.2 | 6.8 | R+7.0 | 80% |
| President | 2 | 3.7 | 4.4 | R+3.7 | 100% |
| Generic ballot | 1 | 0.6 | 4.3 | D+0.6 | 100% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. WPA Intelligence is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 33 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17–18, 2024 | 2024 California's 47th congressional district election (2024) for Baugh's campaign | 401 LV | Min 40 · Baugh 43 | R+3 | — | Release |
| Oct 8–10, 2024 | 2024 Wisconsin's 1st congressional district election (2024) for the Congressional Leadership Fund | 411 LV | Barca 42 · Steil 52 | R+10 | — | Release |
| Oct 6–7, 2024 | 2024 Florida's 13th congressional district election (2024) for Club for Growth | 403 LV | Fox 45 · Luna 51 | R+6 | — | Release |
| Sep 28–30, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota (2024) for North Dakota News Cooperative | 500 LV | Christiansen 29 · Cramer 51 | R+22 | — | Release |
| Sep 28–30, 2024 | 2024 North Dakota gubernatorial election (2024) for the North Dakota News Cooperative | 500 LV | Piepkorn 24 · Armstrong 54 | R+30 | — | Release |
| Sep 28–30, 2024 | 2024 North Dakota's at-large congressional district election (2024) for North Dakota News Cooperative | 500 LV | Hammer 28 · Fedorchak 53 | R+25 | — | Release |
| Sep 24–26, 2024 | 2024 California's 47th congressional district election (2024) for Baugh's campaign | — V | Min 45 · Baugh 42 | D+3 | — | Release |
| Sep 22–24, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota (2024) for Cramer's campaign | 521 LV | Christiansen 31 · Cramer 60 | R+29 | — | Release |
| Aug 28–29, 2024 | 2024 Florida's 13th congressional district election (2024) for Club for Growth | 400 LV | Fox 43 · Luna 48 | R+5 | — | Release |
| Oct 28–31, 2022 | 2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election (2022) for Stitt's campaign | 500 LV | Hofmeister 39 · Stitt 52 | R+13 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Oct 18, 2024. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2017, by share of polls.
30% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET