UC Berkeley
UC Berkeley has 17 polls in our database and is rated on 3 past polls scored against results (2018–2024).
Rated polls
32018–2024
Average miss
5.0All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
D+0.5Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
100%Of rated polls
Last poll
Oct 28, 20242024 United States Senate elections in California (2024)
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
3 rated polls; misses beyond 10 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | 2 | 4.6 | 5.7 | R+0.9 | 100% |
| Senate | 1 | 5.8 | 5.5 | D+5.8 | 100% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. UC Berkeley is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 17 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22–28, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate elections in California (2024) | 4,341 LV | Schiff 55 · Garvey 34 | D+21 | — | Release |
| Sep 25–Oct 1, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate elections in California (2024) | 3,045 LV | Schiff 53 · Garvey 36 | D+17 | — | Release |
| Jul 31–Aug 11, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate elections in California (2024) for the Los Angeles Times | 3,765 LV | Schiff 53 · Garvey 33 | D+20 | — | Release |
| Feb 22–26, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate elections in California (2024) for the Los Angeles Times | 3,304 LV | Schiff 53 · Garvey 38 | D+15 | — | Release |
| Oct 25–31, 2022 | 2022 California gubernatorial election (2022) | 5,972 LV | Newsom 58 · Dahle 37 | D+21 | — | Release |
| Sep 22–27, 2022 | 2022 California gubernatorial election (2022) | 6,939 LV | Newsom 53 · Dahle 32 | D+21 | — | Release |
| Aug 9–15, 2022 | 2022 California gubernatorial election (2022) | 9,254 RV | Newsom 52 · Dahle 25 | D+27 | — | Release |
| Aug 9–15, 2022 | 2022 California gubernatorial election (2022) | 6,321 LV | Newsom 55 · Dahle 31 | D+24 | — | Release |
| Oct 19–25, 2018 | 2018 California gubernatorial election (2018) | 1,339 V | Newsom 58 · Cox 40 | D+18 | — | Release |
| Sep 16–23, 2018 | 2018 California's 10th congressional district election (2018) | 726 V | Harder 50 · Denham 45 | D+5 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Oct 28, 2024. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2018, by share of polls.
No polls for candidates or party committees on file.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET