Opinion Dynamics
Opinion Dynamics has no polls in our database and is rated on 28 past polls scored against results (1998–2010).
Rated polls
281998–2010
Average miss
4.8All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
R+0.1Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
71%Of rated polls
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
28 rated polls; misses beyond 20 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President | 16 | 3.6 | 4.4 | R+1.4 | 62% |
| Generic ballot | 7 | 5.9 | 4.3 | R+0.5 | 86% |
| Senate | 5 | 6.9 | 5.5 | R+2.5 | 80% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Opinion Dynamics is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET