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OH Predictive Insights

OH Predictive Insights has 29 polls in our database and is rated on 7 past polls scored against results (2018–2022).

Rated polls

7

2018–2022

Average miss

3.9

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

D+0.1

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

57%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Oct 27, 2022

2022 United States Senate election in Nevada (2022)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
R+5.8D+2.9R+1.3

7 rated polls; misses beyond 10 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
Senate54.15.5R+2.360%
Governor23.55.7R+3.550%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. OH Predictive Insights is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Oct 24–27, 20222022 United States Senate election in Nevada (2022)600 LVMasto 43 · Laxalt 41D+2—Release
Oct 24–26, 20222022 United States Senate election in Arizona (2022)600 LVKelly 48 · Masters 46D+2—Release
Oct 24–26, 20222022 Arizona gubernatorial election (2022)600 LVHobbs 47 · Lake 49R+2—Release
Oct 4–6, 20222022 United States Senate election in Arizona (2022)674 LVKelly 46 · Masters 33D+13—Release
Sep 20–29, 20222022 United States Senate election in Nevada (2022)741 LVMasto 43 · Laxalt 45R+2—Release
Sep 6–9, 20222022 United States Senate election in Arizona (2022)654 LVKelly 47 · Masters 35D+12—Release
Apr 1–9, 20222022 United States Senate election in Nevada (2022)748 RVMasto 43 · Laxalt 35D+8—Release
Jan 19–26, 20222022 United States Senate election in Nevada (2022)755 RVMasto 44 · Laxalt 35D+9—Release
Sep 7–12, 20212022 United States Senate election in Arizona (2022)882 RVKelly 44 · Masters 35D+9—Release
Oct 22–25, 20202020 United States Senate special election in Arizona (2020)716 LVKelly 50 · McSally 45D+5—Release

Latest poll ended Oct 27, 2022. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2017, by share of polls.

No sponsor named100%

No polls for candidates or party committees on file.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET