C462nd of 556
Mostly Republican-sponsored

NMB Research

NMB Research has 6 polls in our database and is rated on 2 past polls scored against results (2016–2024).

Rated polls

2

2016–2024

Average miss

10.8

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

R+0.1

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

50%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Oct 15, 2024

2024 Michigan's 8th congressional district election (2024)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
D+13.5R+8.2

2 rated polls; misses beyond 15 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
House210.86.8D+2.750%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. NMB Research is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Oct 13–15, 20242024 Michigan's 8th congressional district election (2024) for the National Republican Congressional Committee400 LVRivet 40 · Junge 41R+1—Release
May 17–19, 20202020 United States Senate election in Kansas (2020) for the Marshall campaign506 LVBollier 35 · Marshall 46R+11—Release
Jun 18–21, 20182018 Michigan gubernatorial election (2018)800 VWhitmer 40 · Schuette 39D+1—Release
Oct 16–18, 20162016 Wisconsin's 8th congressional district election (2016)400 VNelson 41 · Gallagher 52R+11—Release
Oct 8–10, 20162016 West Virginia gubernatorial election (2016)— AJustice 39 · Cole 39Even—Release
Aug 9–11, 20162016 California's 7th congressional district election (2016)400 VBera 45 · Jones 46R+1—Release

Latest poll ended Oct 15, 2024. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2016, by share of polls.

No sponsor named50%
the National Republican Congressional Committee17%
the Marshall campaign17%
No sponsor named17%

51% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET