A−23rd of 556

Monmouth University Polling Institute

Monmouth University Polling Institute has 145 polls in our database and is rated on 97 past polls scored against results (2005–2024).

Rated polls

97

2005–2024

Average miss

5.6

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

R+0.1

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

69%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Oct 28, 2024

2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania (2024)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
R+0.2R+9.4D+5.8D+4.2R+2.0R+5.6D+1.2D+3.6D+4.8R+2.7R+2.3D+11.4D+5.5D+1.4

97 rated polls; misses beyond 25 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
Senate344.85.5D+3.168%
House277.06.8D+3.674%
Governor204.45.7D+3.470%
President166.14.4D+4.762%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Monmouth University Polling Institute is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Oct 24–28, 20242024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania (2024)824 RVJr. 45 · McCormick 44D+1—Release
Oct 10–14, 20242024 New Jersey's 7th congressional district election (2024)603 RVAltman 44 · Jr. 46R+2—Release
Sep 29–Oct 3, 20222022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election (2022)610 RVShapiro 54 · Mastriano 38D+16—Release
Sep 8–12, 20222022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election (2022)605 RVShapiro 54 · Mastriano 36D+18—Release
Oct 15–20, 20202020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election (2020)352 RVFinkenauer 52 · Hinson 44D+8—Release
Oct 15–20, 20202020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election (2020)352 LVFinkenauer 54 · Hinson 44D+10—Release
Oct 15–20, 20202020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election (2020)352 LVFinkenauer 56 · Hinson 42D+14—Release
Oct 15–20, 20202020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election (2020)355 RVHart 49 · Miller-Meeks 43D+6—Release
Oct 15–20, 20202020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election (2020)355 LVHart 51 · Miller-Meeks 42D+9—Release
Oct 15–20, 20202020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election (2020)355 LVHart 54 · Miller-Meeks 41D+13—Release

Latest poll ended Oct 28, 2024. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2016, by share of polls.

No sponsor named100%

No polls for candidates or party committees on file.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET