Mellman Group
Mellman Group has 11 polls in our database and is rated on 25 past polls scored against results (2002–2014).
Rated polls
252002–2014
Average miss
5.5All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
D+1.5Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
80%Of rated polls
Last poll
Jan 12, 2026CA 2026: Wealth tax
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
25 rated polls; misses beyond 25 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President | 10 | 2.0 | 4.4 | D+0.3 | 90% |
| Senate | 7 | 8.1 | 5.5 | D+8.1 | 57% |
| Governor | 5 | 5.4 | 5.7 | D+5.4 | 100% |
| House | 3 | 11.2 | 6.8 | D+11.2 | 67% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Mellman Group is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 11 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6–12, 2026 | CA 2026: Wealth tax for Kensington Avenue Strategies | 800 LV | Yes 48 · No 38 | Yes +10 | — | Release |
| Oct 3–6, 2022 | 2022 California's 27th congressional district election (2022) for Smith's campaign | 400 LV | Smith 47 · Garcia 41 | D+6 | — | Release |
| Oct 1–4, 2022 | 2022 Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district election (2022) for Magaziner's campaign | 400 LV | Magaziner 40 · Fung 43 | R+3 | — | Release |
| Aug 25–30, 2022 | 2022 California's 27th congressional district election (2022) for Smith's campaign | 600 LV | Smith 44 · Garcia 42 | D+2 | — | Release |
| Sep 15–22, 2021 | 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada (2022) | 600 LV | Masto 46 · Laxalt 41 | D+5 | — | Release |
| Oct 7–10, 2018 | 2018 Utah's 4th congressional district election (2018) | 400 V | McAdams 47 · Love 46 | D+1 | — | Release |
| Oct 3–6, 2018 | 2018 Ohio's 7th congressional district election (2018) | 400 V | Harbaugh 38 · Gibbs 45 | R+7 | — | Release |
| Aug 20–23, 2018 | 2018 Utah's 4th congressional district election (2018) | 400 V | McAdams 44 · Love 46 | R+2 | — | Release |
| Aug 1–7, 2018 | 2018 United States Senate special election in Mississippi (2018) | 600 V | Espy 27 · Hyde-Smith 29 | R+2 | — | Release |
| Apr 12–19, 2018 | 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election (2018) | 600 V | Sisolak 43 · Laxalt 37 | D+6 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Jan 12, 2026. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2018, by share of polls.
36% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET