Lucid
Lucid has 13 polls in our database and is rated on 22 past polls scored against results (2016–2018).
Rated polls
222016–2018
Average miss
3.9All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
D+0.9Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
100%Of rated polls
Last poll
Oct 15, 20222022 United States Senate election in Ohio (2022)
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
22 rated polls; misses beyond 20 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President | 12 | 4.6 | 4.4 | D+4.4 | 100% |
| Senate | 9 | 3.2 | 5.5 | D+3.2 | 100% |
| Generic ballot | 1 | 2.7 | 4.3 | R+2.7 | 100% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Lucid is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 13 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11–15, 2022 | 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio (2022) for Ohio Northern University | 668 LV | Ryan 43 · Vance 41 | D+2 | — | Release |
| Oct 11–15, 2022 | 2022 Ohio gubernatorial election (2022) for Ohio Northern University | 668 LV | Whaley 29 · DeWine 60 | R+31 | — | Release |
| Oct 28–Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Arizona (2016) for The Times-Picayune | 1,113 V | Kirkpatrick 40 · McCain 52 | R+12 | — | Release |
| Oct 28–Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Colorado (2016) for The Times-Picayune | 972 V | Bennet 49 · Glenn 41 | D+8 | — | Release |
| Oct 28–Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Nevada (2016) for The Times Picayune | 892 LV | Masto 47 · Heck 41 | D+6 | — | Release |
| Oct 17–18, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Florida (2016) for The Times-Picayune | 892 V | Murphy 44 · Rubio 45 | R+1 | — | Release |
| Oct 17–18, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia (2016) for The Times-Picayune | 807 V | Barksdale 39 · Isakson 49 | R+10 | — | Release |
| Oct 17–18, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina (2016) for The Times-Picayune | 924 V | Ross 44 · Burr 46 | R+2 | — | Release |
| Oct 17–18, 2016 | 2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election (2016) for The Times-Picayune | 924 V | Cooper 50 · McCrory 43 | D+7 | — | Release |
| Oct 7–10, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Indiana (2016) for The Times-Picayune | 1,123 V | Bayh 46 · Young 43 | D+3 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Oct 15, 2022. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2016, by share of polls.
No polls for candidates or party committees on file.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET