B−172nd of 556

Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group

Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group has no polls in our database and is rated on 33 past polls scored against results (2000–2012).

Rated polls

33

2000–2012

Average miss

3.7

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

0

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

52%

Of rated polls

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
R+2.1D+0.9R+3.6D+1.1R+3.1

33 rated polls; misses beyond 15 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
President194.14.4R+3.963%
Generic ballot143.14.3D+1.136%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET