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The Illinois Poll - Victory Research

The Illinois Poll - Victory Research has 2 polls in our database and is rated on 1 past poll scored against results (2016).

Rated polls

1

2016

Average miss

3.6

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

0

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

100%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Oct 18, 2016

2016 United States Senate election in Illinois (2016)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
R+3.6

1 rated polls; misses beyond 10 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
Senate13.65.5R+3.6100%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. The Illinois Poll - Victory Research is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Oct 16–18, 20162016 United States Senate election in Illinois (2016)1,200 VDuckworth 50 · Kirk 39D+11—Release
Jul 14–16, 20162016 United States Senate election in Illinois (2016)1,200 VDuckworth 46 · Kirk 37D+9—Release

Latest poll ended Oct 18, 2016. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2016, by share of polls.

No sponsor named100%

No polls for candidates or party committees on file.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET