B114th of 556
Mostly Republican-sponsored

Guidance Polling and Strategy

Guidance Polling and Strategy has 1 poll in our database and is rated on 1 past poll scored against results (2024).

Rated polls

1

2024

Average miss

0.4

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

R+0.3

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

100%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Oct 16, 2024

2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election (2024)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
R+0.4

1 rated polls; misses beyond 10 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
House10.46.8R+0.4100%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Guidance Polling and Strategy is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Oct 13–16, 20242024 Montana's 1st congressional district election (2024) for the Congressional Leadership Fund400 LVTranel 44 · Zinke 52R+8—Release

Latest poll ended Oct 16, 2024. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2024, by share of polls.

the Congressional Leadership Fund100%

100% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET