GBA Strategies
GBA Strategies has 18 polls in our database and is rated on 2 past polls scored against results (2018).
Rated polls
22018
Average miss
2.9All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
D+0.4Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
100%Of rated polls
Last poll
Oct 22, 20182018 Ohio's 12th congressional district election (2018)
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
2 rated polls; misses beyond 10 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House | 1 | 4.3 | 6.8 | D+4.3 | 100% |
| Senate | 1 | 1.6 | 5.5 | R+1.6 | 100% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. GBA Strategies is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 18 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20–22, 2018 | 2018 Ohio's 12th congressional district election (2018) | 570 V | O'Connor 47 · Balderson 47 | Even | — | Release |
| Oct 18–21, 2018 | 2018 United States Senate election in Texas (2018) | 1,000 V | O'Rourke 46 · Cruz 50 | R+4 | — | Release |
| Oct 8–10, 2018 | 2018 New York's 1st congressional district election (2018) | 500 V | Gershon 46 · Zeldin 50 | R+4 | — | Release |
| Oct 1–4, 2018 | 2018 Illinois's 13th congressional district election (2018) for the Longdrigan campaign | 500 V | Londrigan 48 · Davis 49 | R+1 | — | Release |
| Sep 20–30, 2018 | 2018 Texas's 32nd congressional district election (2018) | 600 V | Allred 47 · Sessions 46 | D+1 | — | Release |
| Sep 20–23, 2018 | 2018 California's 45th congressional district election (2018) | 400 V | Porter 48 · Walters 47 | D+1 | — | Release |
| Sep 11–13, 2018 | 2018 Ohio's 1st congressional district election (2018) | 500 V | Pureval 46 · Chabot 44 | D+2 | — | Release |
| Sep 4–6, 2018 | 2018 Ohio's 12th congressional district election (2018) | 500 V | O'Connor 46 · Balderson 47 | R+1 | — | Release |
| Aug 1–5, 2018 | 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico (2018) | 800 V | Heinrich 47 · Rich 29 | D+18 | — | Release |
| Jul 30–Aug 1, 2018 | 2018 Texas's 32nd congressional district election (2018) | 500 V | Allred 45 · Sessions 47 | R+2 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Oct 22, 2018. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2016, by share of polls.
23% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET