B+50th of 556
Mostly Democratic-sponsored

Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group

Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group has 34 polls in our database and is rated on 29 past polls scored against results (1998–2022).

Rated polls

29

1998–2022

Average miss

5.0

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

D+2.0

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

93%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Sep 1, 2022

2022 New York's 19th congressional district election (2022)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
R+12.8D+7.5D+1.0D+2.8D+3.8R+0.1D+4.8D+9.0R+0.1

29 rated polls; misses beyond 15 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
Senate164.15.5D+1.694%
House66.56.8D+1.983%
Governor56.25.7D+6.1100%
President24.34.4D+4.3100%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Aug 29–Sep 1, 20222022 New York's 19th congressional district election (2022) for Riley's campaign403 LVRiley 47 · Molinaro 44D+3—Release
Oct 15–18, 20202020 Ohio's 10th congressional district election (2020) for Tims' campaign400 LVTims 45 · Turner 49R+4—Release
Oct 10–12, 20202020 Virginia's 10th congressional district election (2020) for Wexton's campaign400 LVWexton 58 · Andrews 36D+22—Release
Sep 28–Oct 2, 20202020 Missouri gubernatorial election (2020) for Galloway's campaign600 LVGalloway 48 · Parson 50R+2—Release
Sep 26–29, 20202020 Ohio's 10th congressional district election (2020) for Tims' campaign400 LVTims 42 · Turner 49R+7—Release
Aug 31–Sep 4, 20202020 Texas's 21st congressional district election (2020) for Davis' campaign401 LVDavis 48 · Roy 47D+1—Release
Jul 30–Aug 9, 20202020 United States Senate election in Mississippi (2020) for Espy's campaign600 LVEspy 42 · Hyde-Smith 47R+5—Release
Jul 1–31, 20202020 Ohio's 10th congressional district election (2020) for Tims' campaign— VTims 36 · Turner 50R+14—Release
Jul 14–17, 20202020 Texas's 21st congressional district election (2020) for Davis' campaign500 LVDavis 45 · Roy 46R+1—Release
Jul 7–12, 20202020 United States Senate election in Kentucky (2020) for McGrath's campaign800 LVMcGrath 41 · McConnell 45R+4—Release

Latest poll ended Sep 1, 2022. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2016, by share of polls.

No sponsor named47%
Tims' campaign9%
the Casten campaign9%
Davis' campaign6%
McGrath's campaign6%
No sponsor named6%

36% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET