Elway Research
Elway Research has 18 polls in our database and is rated on 21 past polls scored against results (2000–2016).
Rated polls
212000–2016
Average miss
5.1All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
D+1.0Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
90%Of rated polls
Last poll
Oct 12, 20242024 Washington gubernatorial election (2024)
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
21 rated polls; misses beyond 10 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | 8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | D+4.4 | 88% |
| Senate | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | D+4.3 | 83% |
| President | 5 | 3.8 | 4.4 | D+1.1 | 100% |
| House | 2 | 4.8 | 6.8 | D+4.8 | 100% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Elway Research is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 18 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8–12, 2024 | 2024 Washington gubernatorial election (2024) for Cascade PBS | 401 LV | Ferguson 51 · Reichert 37 | D+14 | — | Release |
| Sep 3–6, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate election in Washington (2024) for Cascade PBS | 403 RV | Cantwell 55 · Garcia 33 | D+22 | — | Release |
| Sep 3–6, 2024 | 2024 Washington gubernatorial election (2024) for Cascade PBS | 403 RV | Ferguson 50 · Reichert 39 | D+11 | — | Release |
| May 13–16, 2024 | 2024 United States Senate election in Washington (2024) for Cascade PBS | 403 RV | Cantwell 39 · Garcia 30 | D+9 | — | Release |
| Oct 30–Nov 3, 2023 | 2024 United States Senate election in Washington (2024) for Crosscut.com | 403 RV | Cantwell 43 · Garcia 23 | D+20 | — | Release |
| Sep 12–15, 2022 | 2022 United States Senate election in Washington (2022) | 403 LV | Murray 50 · Smiley 37 | D+13 | — | Release |
| Jul 7–11, 2022 | 2022 United States Senate election in Washington (2022) | 400 RV | Murray 53 · Smiley 33 | D+20 | — | Release |
| Oct 4–9, 2018 | 2018 United States Senate election in Washington (2018) for Crosscut | 405 RV | Cantwell 53 · Hutchison 39 | D+14 | — | Release |
| Oct 4–9, 2018 | 2018 Washington's 8th congressional district election (2018) | 400 V | Schrier 39 · Rossi 49 | R+10 | — | Release |
| Apr 4–7, 2018 | 2018 Washington's 5th congressional district election (2018) | 403 V | Brown 38 · Rodgers 44 | R+6 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Oct 12, 2024. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2015, by share of polls.
No polls for candidates or party committees on file.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET