DFM Research
DFM Research has 11 polls in our database and is rated on 11 past polls scored against results (2014–2018).
Rated polls
112014–2018
Average miss
6.4All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
D+0.4Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
82%Of rated polls
Last poll
Sep 16, 20202020 North Dakota gubernatorial election (2020)
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
11 rated polls; misses beyond 15 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House | 4 | 5.6 | 6.8 | D+0.4 | 100% |
| Senate | 4 | 3.3 | 5.5 | D+3.3 | 100% |
| Governor | 2 | 12.9 | 5.7 | D+12.9 | 0% |
| President | 1 | 9.0 | 4.4 | D+9.0 | 100% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. DFM Research is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 11 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12–16, 2020 | 2020 North Dakota gubernatorial election (2020) | 500 LV | Lenz 24 · Burgum 56 | R+32 | — | Release |
| Aug 6–9, 2020 | 2020 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election (2020) | 384 LV | DePasquale 46 · Perry 44 | D+2 | — | Release |
| Jul 29–30, 2020 | 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma (2020) for Abby Broyles | 572 LV | Broyles 34 · Inhofe 50 | R+16 | — | Release |
| Oct 23–27, 2018 | 2018 United States Senate election in Nebraska (2018) | 683 V | Raybould 39 · Fischer 54 | R+15 | — | Release |
| Oct 23–25, 2018 | 2018 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election (2018) | 350 V | Eastman 45 · Bacon 52 | R+7 | — | Release |
| Oct 27–Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Missouri (2016) | 508 V | Kander 41 · Blunt 41 | Even | — | Release |
| Oct 27–Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election (2016) | 508 V | Koster 45 · Greitens 39 | D+6 | — | Release |
| Sep 6–11, 2016 | 2016 Wyoming's at-large congressional district election (2016) | 402 V | Greene 30 · Cheney 46 | R+16 | — | Release |
| Mar 17–24, 2016 | 2016 United States Senate election in Missouri (2016) | 674 V | Kander 35 · Blunt 49 | R+14 | — | Release |
| Mar 17–24, 2016 | 2016 Missouri gubernatorial election (2016) | 674 V | Koster 41 · Greitens 24 | D+17 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Sep 16, 2020. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2015, by share of polls.
9% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET