Carroll Strategies
Carroll Strategies has 9 polls in our database and is rated on 6 past polls scored against results (2018).
Rated polls
62018
Average miss
10.9All pollsters: 6.8
Lean
R+0.8Against other polls of the same races
Picked winner
83%Of rated polls
Last poll
Nov 1, 20182018 United States Senate election in New Mexico (2018)
Every rated poll against the result
Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.
- Poll
- Cycle average
6 rated polls; misses beyond 20 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
By type of race
| Race type | Rated polls | Avg. miss | All pollsters | Lean | Picked winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House | 3 | 9.9 | 6.8 | R+9.9 | 67% |
| Senate | 2 | 13.3 | 5.5 | R+13.3 | 100% |
| Governor | 1 | 9.1 | 5.7 | R+9.1 | 100% |
Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Among all pollsters
Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Carroll Strategies is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Recent polls
All 9 in the database| Dates | Question | Sample | Result | Margin | vs result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico (2018) | 1,202 V | Heinrich 51 · Rich 38 | D+13 | — | Release |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election (2018) | 1,200 LV | Grisham 51 · Pearce 45 | D+6 | — | Release |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election (2018) | 452 V | Haaland 51 · Arnold-Jones 43 | D+8 | — | Release |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election (2018) | 338 V | Small 42 · Herrell 47 | R+5 | — | Release |
| Oct 29, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election (2018) | 410 V | Luján 57 · McFall 33 | D+24 | — | Release |
| Jun 15–16, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election (2018) | 1,199 LV | Grisham 51 · Pearce 42 | D+9 | — | Release |
| Jun 15–16, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election (2018) | 419 V | Haaland 47 · Arnold-Jones 43 | D+4 | — | Release |
| Jun 15–16, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election (2018) | 334 V | Small 35 · Herrell 49 | R+14 | — | Release |
| Jun 15–16, 2018 | 2018 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election (2018) | 446 V | Luján 58 · McFall 30 | D+28 | — | Release |
Latest poll ended Nov 1, 2018. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database
Who it polls for
Sponsors of its polls since 2018, by share of polls.
No polls for candidates or party committees on file.
Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET