C−529th of 556
Mostly Republican-sponsored

Basswood Research

Basswood Research has 6 polls in our database and is rated on 3 past polls scored against results (2002–2009).

Rated polls

3

2002–2009

Average miss

29.6

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

R+1.3

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

100%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Oct 5, 2020

2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona (2020)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
R+3.6R+19.8R+65.4

3 rated polls; misses beyond 70 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
House329.66.8R+29.6100%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Basswood Research is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Oct 3–5, 20202020 United States Senate special election in Arizona (2020) for the American Action Network800 LVKelly 47 · McSally 49R+2—Release
Sep 26–28, 20202020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election (2020) for the Congressional Leadership Fund400 LVFinkenauer 45 · Hinson 45Even—Release
Aug 29–31, 20202020 United States Senate special election in Arizona (2020) for the American Action Network800 LVKelly 48 · McSally 48Even—Release
Jul 13–15, 20202020 New Jersey's 3rd congressional district election (2020) for the Congressional Leadership Fund400 LVKim 45 · Richter 42D+3—Release
Mar 10–11, 20202020 New Jersey's 7th congressional district election (2020)400 LVMalinowski 38 · Jr. 39R+1—Release
Jul 11–12, 20162016 United States Senate election in Illinois (2016)800 VDuckworth 40 · Kirk 42R+2—Release

Latest poll ended Oct 5, 2020. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2016, by share of polls.

the American Action Network33%
the Congressional Leadership Fund33%
No sponsor named33%

99% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET