D544th of 556
Mostly Republican-sponsored

Ascend Action

Ascend Action has 12 polls in our database and is rated on 13 past polls scored against results (2022).

Rated polls

13

2022

Average miss

13.9

All pollsters: 6.8

Lean

D+1.1

Against other polls of the same races

Picked winner

85%

Of rated polls

Last poll

Nov 6, 2022

2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma (2022)

Every rated poll against the result

Each dot is one poll from the last three weeks of a race: how far its margin landed from the result. Above the line it overstated Democrats; below, Republicans. Bars show each cycle’s average lean.

  • Poll
  • Cycle average
D+13.9

13 rated polls; misses beyond 25 points are drawn at the edge. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

By type of race

Race typeRated pollsAvg. missAll pollstersLeanPicked winner
Senate815.25.5D+15.2100%
Governor511.75.7D+11.760%

Avg. miss: green where it beats all pollsters’ average for that type. Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

Among all pollsters

Average miss of every rated pollster, in points. Ascend Action is marked; darker bars are pollsters with a smaller miss.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET

DatesQuestionSampleResultMarginvs resultSource
Nov 5–6, 20222022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma (2022)682 LVHorn 36 · Lankford 56R+20—Release
Nov 5–6, 20222022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma (2022)682 LVHorn 41 · Mullin 53R+12—Release
Nov 5–6, 20222022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election (2022)682 LVHofmeister 46 · Stitt 49R+3—Release
Oct 26–29, 20222022 Maine gubernatorial election (2022)471 LVMills 55 · LePage 40D+15—Release
Oct 24–28, 20222022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma (2022)749 LVHorn 35 · Lankford 51R+16—Release
Oct 24–28, 20222022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma (2022)749 LVHorn 41 · Mullin 47R+6—Release
Oct 24–28, 20222022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election (2022)749 LVHofmeister 48 · Stitt 45D+3—Release
Oct 10–12, 20222022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma (2022)638 LVHorn 37 · Lankford 51R+14—Release
Oct 10–12, 20222022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma (2022)638 LVHorn 39 · Mullin 50R+11—Release
Oct 10–12, 20222022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election (2022)638 LVHofmeister 49 · Stitt 42D+7—Release

Latest poll ended Nov 6, 2022. Source: each poll’s own release, via the 99chambers polls database

Who it polls for

Sponsors of its polls since 2022, by share of polls.

No sponsor named92%
No sponsor named8%

92% of its polls were paid for by candidates or party committees.

Source: 99chambers pollster ratings and polls databaseUpdated Oct 22, 2026, 3:55 AM ET