CalledUnofficial results

Minnesota Secretary of State

Secretary of State · Minnesota

Steve Simon won re-election by 12.9 points over Tad Jude.

Steve SimonDemocrat · winner · incumbent
54.7%1,529,189
Tad JudeRepublican
41.8%1,168,639
George "Chip" TangenLibertarian
2.0%54,684
Seth Kuhl-StennesGreen
1.5%41,369
Write-inOther party
0.0%1,256
2,795,137 votes

Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Simon compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 87 of 87 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Clay, +12.2 points.

R+60R+60R+30R+30EvenEvenD+30D+30D+60D+60Moved toward Democrats ↑↓ Moved toward RepublicansHennepinRamseyDakotaAnokaWashingtonSt. Louis2024 presidential margin →2026 margin →

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

EvenD+8.62018 RaceD+9.12022 RaceD+4.32024 Pres.D+12.92026 Race

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift
HennepinD+47.9+5.4
RamseyD+53.4+10.3
DakotaD+21.4+8.6
AnokaD+5.0+9.5
WashingtonD+15.8+6.9
St. LouisD+24.3+10.7
ScottR+1.6+6.9
OlmstedD+20.1+9.4
Show 79 more
WrightR+23.8+5.4
StearnsR+16.5+10.2
CarverR+3.4+1.9
SherburneR+27.8+7.0
Crow WingR+25.8+5.4
RiceD+7.3+9.8
Otter TailR+29.2+4.9
Blue EarthD+9.4+10.6
ChisagoR+24.2+7.1
ClayD+12.7+12.3
GoodhueR+9.4+7.0
WinonaD+5.6+10.4
ItascaR+13.0+7.1
DouglasR+29.3+5.7
IsantiR+32.4+8.7
BeltramiD+0.9+6.5
KandiyohiR+22.3+8.6
BentonR+27.6+8.2
SteeleR+13.8+10.6
CarltonD+7.3+9.8
McleodR+30.5+7.4
BeckerR+27.6+5.5
CassR+30.6+2.8
NicolletD+6.3+6.8
MorrisonR+51.1+4.8
MowerD+1.4+11.8
Le SueurR+25.9+7.7
PineR+26.9+8.2
FreebornR+11.7+9.6
Mille LacsR+34.3+6.5
PolkR+25.1+8.6
HubbardR+25.1+6.3
BrownR+27.1+7.9
MeekerR+37.7+4.9
ToddR+45.6+7.7
WabashaR+19.9+8.2
LyonR+23.0+8.7
DodgeR+25.4+6.6
FillmoreR+18.0+7.4
HoustonR+10.1+6.3
AitkinR+26.4+4.4
MartinR+34.6+5.0
WasecaR+25.5+7.0
KanabecR+33.7+8.6
SibleyR+36.5+6.4
RedwoodR+36.8+6.4
RoseauR+44.6+4.6
NoblesR+19.6+15.9
WadenaR+45.3+6.0
RenvilleR+32.3+9.0
FaribaultR+27.8+9.5
PopeR+26.0+5.6
LakeD+12.6+8.8
PenningtonR+22.0+9.4
KoochichingR+19.5+6.2
ChippewaR+24.8+9.2
JacksonR+37.5+4.5
CottonwoodR+32.3+8.7
Yellow MedicineR+33.2+7.3
SwiftR+27.2+6.8
RockR+33.5+5.7
StevensR+23.6+3.3
MarshallR+45.4+6.2
WatonwanR+17.2+10.5
PipestoneR+43.8+4.2
MurrayR+39.3+3.0
ClearwaterR+41.7+8.3
Lac Qui ParleR+24.7+7.5
CookD+40.0+5.2
GrantR+24.4+6.1
NormanR+10.8+11.3
WilkinR+34.3+4.6
LincolnR+32.9+4.8
Big StoneR+23.7+5.7
KittsonR+15.0+10.0
MahnomenR+2.7+6.0
Red LakeR+27.8+9.2
Lake Of The WoodsR+43.6+3.5
TraverseR+26.0+5.5

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Simon ahead by 11.7. Simon won by 12.9: a 1.2-point miss toward Republicans.

R+10EvenD+10Result D+12.9Final average D+11.7Sep 1Oct 1Nov 3
  • Poll with Simon ahead
  • Poll with Jude ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSampleSimonJudeMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
SurveyUSA for KSTPOct 24–Oct 28714 LV4736D+11D+13.1−1.9Akstp.com ↗
SurveyUSA for KSTPOct 8–Oct 12718 LV4337D+6D+7.4−6.9Akstp.com ↗
SurveyUSA for KSTPSep 9–Sep 14654 LV4036D+4D+5.4−8.9Akstp.com ↗
SurveyUSA for KSTPAug 13–Aug 17661 LV4134D+7D+10.2−5.9Akstp.com ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 28, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Steve Simon
99%
Tad Jude
1%
Projected margin
D+14.6
How the forecast works →

Also on this ballot here

U.S. SenateD+10.1
GovernorD+12.8
Attorney GeneralD+8.7
AuditorD+8.8

Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Minnesota Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET