Minnesota Secretary of State
Secretary of State · Minnesota
Steve Simon won re-election by 12.9 points over Tad Jude.
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Simon compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 87 of 87 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Clay, +12.2 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 79 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Simon ahead by 11.7. Simon won by 12.9: a 1.2-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Simon ahead
- Poll with Jude ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Simon | Jude | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Oct 24–Oct 28 | 714 LV | 47 | 36 | D+11 | D+13.1 | −1.9 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 718 LV | 43 | 37 | D+6 | D+7.4 | −6.9 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Sep 9–Sep 14 | 654 LV | 40 | 36 | D+4 | D+5.4 | −8.9 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Aug 13–Aug 17 | 661 LV | 41 | 34 | D+7 | D+10.2 | −5.9 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 28, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Steve Simon
- 99%
- Tad Jude
- 1%
- Projected margin
- D+14.6
The candidates
Incumbent secretary of state (2015–present)Tad Jude (R)
Former judge from the 10th judicial district (2011–2021), former Democratic state senator from the 48th district (1983–1989), and nominee for MN-3 in 2024
Also on the ballot: George "Chip" Tangen (Libertarian), 2.0%; Seth Kuhl-Stennes (Green), 1.5%; Write-in (Other party), 0.0%
Also on this ballot here
| U.S. Senate | D+10.1 |
| Governor | D+12.8 |
| Attorney General | D+8.7 |
| Auditor | D+8.8 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Minnesota Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET