Minnesota Attorney General
Attorney General · Minnesota
Keith Ellison won re-election by 8.7 points over Ron Schutz.
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Ellison compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 76 of 87 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Clay, +11.0 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 79 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Ellison ahead by 7.8. Ellison won by 8.7: a 0.9-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Ellison ahead
- Poll with Schutz ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Ellison | Schutz | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State Navigate | Oct 26–Oct 28 | 806 LV | 52 | 44 | D+8 | D+9.1 | −0.7 | — | articles.statenavigate.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Oct 24–Oct 28 | 714 LV | 49 | 41 | D+8 | D+8.7 | −0.7 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Oct 8–Oct 12 | 718 LV | 45 | 44 | D+1 | D+1.0 | −7.7 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. for KARE & The Minnesota Star Tribune | Oct 5–Oct 7 | 800 LV | 48 | 40 | D+8 | D+11.4 | −0.7 | A | startribune.com ↗ |
| Morning Consult for The Daily Agenda | Oct 2–Oct 7 | 1,000 RV | 43 | 39 | D+4 | D+6.1 | −4.7 | C | thedailyagenda.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KTSP | Sep 9–Sep 14 | 654 LV | 43 | 45 | R+2 | R+2.1 | −10.7 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KTSP | Aug 13–Aug 17 | 661 LV | 43 | 43 | Even | — | −8.7 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Jul 29–Aug 4 | 1,435 LV | 44 | 36 | D+8 | — | −0.7 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Jul 15–Jul 20 | 1,387 LV | 42 | 38 | D+4 | — | −4.7 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KSTP | Jun 11–Jun 16 | 1,440 LV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | — | −1.7 | A | kstp.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 28, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Keith Ellison
- 98%
- Ron Schutz
- 2%
- Projected margin
- D+12.8
The candidates
Incumbent attorney general (2019–present)Ron Schutz (R)
Former chairman of Robins Kaplan LLP, former military prosecutor and Captain at United States Army JAG Corps.
Also on the ballot: Write-in (Other party), 0.2%
Also on this ballot here
| U.S. Senate | D+10.1 |
| Governor | D+12.8 |
| Secretary of State | D+12.9 |
| Auditor | D+8.8 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Minnesota Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET