99chambers
Called Nov 3Unofficial results

Wisconsin's 6th District

U.S. House · Wisconsin

Glenn Grothman won re-election by 9.4 points over Brad Smith.

Glenn GrothmanRepublican · winner · incumbent
52.8%172,138
Brad SmithDemocrat
43.3%141,346
Elizabeth Anne FitzgibbonNonpartisan
1.6%5,282
Mike ThurowNonpartisan
1.2%3,879
Matthew ArndtNonpartisan
1.1%3,491
Write-inNonpartisan
0.0%23
87% of the expected vote counted · 326,159 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+22.62024 HouseR+16.72024 Pres.R+9.42026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Brad SmithGlenn Grothman
$322.3K
Raised by the campaign
$1.2M
$231K
Spent by the campaign
$1.1M
$91.3K
Cash on hand
$615.5K
$11.2K
Outside spending for them
$0
$11.2K
Outside spending against their opponent
$0
$344.6K
All money helping them
$1.2M

Other candidates' campaigns: Michael Thurow $195.1K.

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

Building TogetherFor Smith, against Grothman$22.3K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Grothman ahead by 25.8. Grothman won by 9.4: a 16.4-point miss toward Republicans.

  • Poll with Smith ahead
  • Poll with Grothman ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSampleSmithGrothmanMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
Tavern Research for Contours Inc.Main question · in averageMay 18–May 28437 LV—55—R+25.8——tavernresearch.com ↗
Tavern Research for Contours Inc.field: Smith, GrothmanMay 18–May 28437 LV3961R+22—−12.6—tavernresearch.com ↗
Change Research for Independent Candidates ActionMar 17–Mar 20640 LV—41.69———B+independentaction.org ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated May 28, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Brad Smith
4%
Glenn Grothman
96%
Projected margin
R+14.1
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Glenn Grothman (R)
Incumbent U.S. representativeBrad Smith (D)
Businessman

Also on the ballot: Elizabeth Anne Fitzgibbon (Nonpartisan), 1.6%; Mike Thurow (Nonpartisan), 1.2%; Matthew Arndt (Nonpartisan), 1.1%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.0%

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Grothman.