Texas's 34th District
U.S. House · Texas
Vicente Gonzalez won re-election by 16.0 points over Eric Flores.
Source: Texas Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| HMPFor Gonzalez, against Flores | $10.2M | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Flores, against Gonzalez | $4.9M | |
| SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC.Against Gonzalez | $2M | |
| BOLD AmericaAgainst Flores | $1.2M | |
| RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACAgainst Gonzalez | $967.7K | |
| America's Credit Unions PACFor Gonzalez | $699.9K | |
| Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action) DBA CVA Action and DBA LIBRE ActionFor Flores, against Gonzalez | $611.8K | |
| CHC BOLD PACAgainst Flores | $500K | |
| Article One PACFor Gonzalez | $432.4K | |
| New Democrat MajorityAgainst Flores | $266.1K | |
| OPERATION GUARDIAN SUPPORT PACFor Flores | $167.8K | |
| GOPAC Election FundFor Flores | $159.4K | |
| CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEEFor Gonzalez | $140K | |
| HMPAgainst Gonzalez | $70.8K |
Show 6 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Gonzalez ahead by 4.4. Gonzalez won by 16.0: a 11.6-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Gonzalez ahead
- Poll with Flores ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Gonzalez | Flores | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | Oct 14–Oct 19 | 626 LV | 50 | 43 | D+7 | D+4.4 | −9.0 | A− | washingtonpost.com ↗ |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | Aug 18–Aug 22 | 700 LV | 45 | 42 | D+3 | D+5.5 | −13.0 | — | static1.squarespace.com ↗ |
| Ragnar Research Partners for Eric Flores's campaignR-sponsored | Jun 14–Jun 16 | 400 LV | 41 | 44 | R+3 | D+2.0 | −19.0 | B+ | x.com ↗ |
| co/efficient for NRCCR-sponsored | Apr 25–Apr 29 | 777 LV | 40 | 41 | R+1 | D+6.0 | −17.0 | B+ | politico.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 19, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Vicente Gonzalez
- 77%
- Eric Flores
- 23%
- Projected margin
- D+5.2
The candidates
Incumbent U.S. representativeEric Flores (R)
Former federal prosecutor and son of former state representative Ismael Flores
Also on the ballot: Eddie Espinoza (Green), 2.3%; Chris Royal (Libertarian), 2.3%