Texas's 10th District
U.S. House · Texas
Chris Gober held the seat for Republicans, winning by 7.5 points over Caitlin Rourk.
Source: Texas Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| AMERICAN MISSIONFor Gober | $747.6K | |
| CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.For Gober | $473.8K | |
| Club for Growth ActionFor Gober | $229.9K | |
| DEFEND AMERICAN JOBSFor Gober | $91.7K | |
| Charter Schools Action PACFor Gober | $28.4K |
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Gober ahead by 9.1. Gober won by 7.5: a 1.6-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Rourk ahead
- Poll with Gober ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Rourk | Gober | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research for Caitlin Rourk's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 18–Sep 22 | 613 LV | 41 | 48 | R+7 | R+9.1 | +0.5 | B+ | semafor.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 22, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Caitlin Rourk
- 4%
- Chris Gober
- 96%
- Projected margin
- R+10.4