Texas's 9th District
U.S. House · Texas
Leticia Gutierrez held the seat for Democrats, winning by 15.1 points over Alex Mealer.
Source: Texas Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Club for Growth ActionFor Mealer, against Gutierrez | $1.4M | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Mealer, against Gutierrez | $1.3M | |
| DEFENDING OUR VALUES PACFor Mealer | $904.6K | |
| VETERANS DUTY FUNDFor Mealer | $749.8K | |
| American Liberty Foundation PACFor Mealer, against Gutierrez | $703.1K | |
| WFW ACTION FUND INCFor Mealer | $637.6K | |
| Win it Back PACFor Mealer | $616.2K | |
| DEFEND AMERICAN JOBSFor Mealer | $461.9K | |
| AB PACFor Gutierrez | $220.3K | |
| Mijente PACFor Gutierrez | $95.1K | |
| Science Victory FundFor Gutierrez | $3.8K |
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Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Mealer ahead by 4.0. Gutierrez won by 15.1: a 19.1-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Gutierrez ahead
- Poll with Mealer ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Gutierrez | Mealer | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting TeamD-sponsored | Oct 20–Oct 22 | 490 LV | 47 | 48 | R+1 | R+3.0 | −16.1 | — | x.com ↗ |
| University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs | Oct 3–Oct 7 | 677 LV | 42 | 48 | R+6 | R+5.4 | −21.1 | — | uh.edu ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for Leticia Gutierrez's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 18–Sep 19 | 560 RV | 39 | 45 | R+6 | R+8.4 | −21.1 | B+ | x.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 22, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Leticia Gutierrez
- 17%
- Alex Mealer
- 83%
- Projected margin
- R+6.4