Florida's 13th District
U.S. House · Florida
Anna Paulina Luna won re-election by 0.8 points over Leela Gray.
Source: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| HMPFor Gray, against Luna | $4.5M | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Luna, against Gray | $2.4M | |
| Giffords PACAgainst Luna | $857.1K | |
| Win it Back PACAgainst Gray | $848.6K | |
| ADVANCING PRINCIPLED LEADERSHIPAgainst Gray | $390.9K | |
| NRDC Action VotesAgainst Luna | $300K | |
| EDW Action FundAgainst Luna | $299.3K | |
| Women VoteAgainst Luna | $216.3K | |
| VoteVetsAgainst Gray | $210K | |
| Progressive Turnout ProjectFor Gray | $175.6K | |
| Club for Growth ActionAgainst Gray | $80.3K | |
| American Liberty Foundation PACFor Luna | $51.2K | |
| MAHA PACFor Luna | $50K | |
| AB PACFor Gray | $18.3K | |
| VoteVetsFor Gray | $4.2K |
Show 7 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Luna ahead by 0.3. Luna won by 0.8: a 0.5-point miss toward Democrats.
- Poll with Gray ahead
- Poll with Luna ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Gray | Luna | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling for House Majority PACD-sponsored | Oct 14–Oct 15 | — LV | 47 | 46 | D+1 | R+0.2 | +1.8 | B+ | x.com ↗ |
| Hart Research Associates for House Majority PACD-sponsoredMain question · in average | Aug 25–Aug 27 | — LV | 51 | 46 | D+5 | R+0.5 | +5.8 | — | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| Hart Research Associates for House Majority PACD-sponsoredfield: Gray, Darrigo, Luna | Aug 25–Aug 27 | — LV | 44 | 43 | D+1 | — | +1.8 | — | thehousemajoritypac.com ↗ |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates for Anna Paulina Luna's campaignR-sponsored | Aug 4–Aug 6 | 400 LV | 41 | 49 | R+8 | R+3.5 | −7.2 | B+ | floridapolitics.com ↗ |
| GQR for Leela Gray's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 4–Aug 6 | 500 LV | 44 | 47 | R+3 | R+4.7 | −2.2 | C+ | semafor.com ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for Leela Gray's campaignD-sponsored | May 19–May 20 | 616 RV | 39 | 41 | R+2 | R+3.1 | −1.2 | B+ | drive.google.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 15, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Leela Gray
- 27%
- Anna Paulina Luna
- 73%
- Projected margin
- R+3.6
The candidates
Incumbent U.S. representativeLeela Gray (D)
Retired U.S. Army brigadier general
Also on the ballot: Tony D'Arrigo (Nonpartisan), 1.8%