2020 election for New York's 24th District
U.S. House · New York
John Katko (R) won with 53.1% of the vote, defeating Dana Balter (D) by 10.2 points.
Source: MIT Election Data and Science LabUpdated Oct 1, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2020
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Dec 31, 2020.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Dec 31, 2020
Polls against the result
- Poll with Balter ahead
- Poll with Katko ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Balter | Katko | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | Oct 29–Nov 2 | 739 LV | 46 | 44 | D+2 | — | +12.2 | B+ | changeresearch.com ↗ |
| Siena College | Oct 20–Oct 22 | 558 LV | 45 | 45 | Even | — | +10.2 | A | files.constantcontact.com ↗ |
| Public Opinion Strategies for Katko's campaignR-sponsored | Oct 15–Oct 18 | 400 LV | 39 | 47 | R+8 | — | +2.2 | B | auburnpub.com ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for the House Majority PACD-sponsored | Oct 13–Oct 14 | 798 RV | 45 | 43 | D+2 | — | +12.2 | B+ | auburnpub.com ↗ |
| Siena CollegeStandard VI response · in average | Sep 28–Sep 29 | 414 LV | 42 | 40 | D+2 | — | +12.2 | A | scri.siena.edu ↗ |
| Siena CollegeIf Williams is removed from the ballot | Sep 28–Sep 29 | 414 LV | 45 | 42 | D+3 | — | +13.2 | A | scri.siena.edu ↗ |
| GBAO for Dana Balter's campaignD-sponsored | Aug 23–Aug 25 | 500 LV | 48 | 46 | D+2 | — | +12.2 | C | auburnpub.com ↗ |
| Public Opinion StrategiesR-sponsored | Aug 12–Aug 15 | 400 LV | 40 | 51 | R+11 | — | −0.8 | B | auburnpub.com ↗ |
| RMG Research | Jul 29–Aug 4 | 500 LV | 37 | 40 | R+3 | — | +7.2 | B+ | termlimits.com ↗ |
| DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department for the DCCCD-sponsored | Jun 18–Jun 22 | 400 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | — | +13.2 | B | dccc.org ↗ |
| Normington, Petts & Associates for the House Majority PACD-sponsored | Jun 8–Jun 10 | 400 RV | 47 | 47 | Even | — | +10.2 | C+ | twitter.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 2, 2020