Normington, Petts & Associates

Polls

97 in 5 races · 2 generic ballot

Grade

C+Accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)

House effect, 2026

D+1.4Against other polls, in today's forecast

House effect, past elections

D+1.4Against other polls of the same races

Sponsorship

DMost of its polls were paid for by a Democratic party or campaign

Based on 13 polls of 13 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2002 to 2024: they missed the final margin by 7.6 points on average, 0.6 points more than other polls of the same races.

Its polls run 1.4 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.

In past elections its polls ran 1.4 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.