2010 election for Pennsylvania's 8th District
U.S. House · Pennsylvania
Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R) won with 53.5% of the vote, defeating Patrick Murphy (D) by 7.0 points, flipping a seat Democrats held.
Source: MIT Election Data and Science LabUpdated Sep 30, 2026, 7:25 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2010
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Dec 31, 2010.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Dec 31, 2010
Polls against the result
- Poll with Murphy ahead
- Poll with Fitzpatrick ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Murphy | Fitzpatrick | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion StrategiesR-sponsored | Oct 19 | 400 | 40 | 50 | R+10 | — | −3.0 | B | Wikipedia |
| Global Strategy GroupD-sponsored | Oct 18 | 400 | 48 | 46 | D+2 | — | +9.0 | C | Wikipedia |
| Monmouth University Polling Institute | Oct 12 | 646 | 46 | 51 | R+5 | — | +2.0 | A− | Wikipedia |
| PSB Research | Oct 11 | 398 | 46 | 43 | D+3 | — | +10.0 | B− | Wikipedia |
| Harstad Strategic Research, Inc.D-sponsored | Sep 21 | 507 | 49 | 46 | D+3 | — | +10.0 | B− | Wikipedia |
| Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | Sep 16 | 379 | 35 | 49 | R+14 | — | −7.0 | C+ | Wikipedia |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via FiveThirtyEight poll listsUpdated Oct 19, 2010