U.S. Senate in Mississippi
U.S. Senate · Mississippi
Scott Colom leads Cindy Hyde-Smith by 0.3 points with 98% of the expected vote counted. The race has not been called.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 2:10 AM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Colom compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 81 of 82 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: DeSoto, +30.2 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 74 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Other candidates' campaigns: Ty Pinkins $104.7K.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Government That Works PACFor Colom, against Hyde-Smith | $3.4M | |
| AB PACAgainst Hyde-Smith | $2.3M | |
| WinSenateFor Colom, against Hyde-Smith | $2.2M | |
| Fulcrum PACFor Colom | $1.7M | |
| BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PACFor Colom | $998.8K | |
| Ready for the FightFor Colom | $985.9K | |
| BlackPACFor Colom | $816K | |
| NEW SOUTHERN MAJORITY IE PACAgainst Hyde-Smith | $810.6K | |
| AMERICAN MISSIONFor Hyde-Smith | $494.5K | |
| Conservative Leaders of AmericaFor Hyde-Smith | $154.6K |
Show 2 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Hyde-Smith ahead by 5.0. Colom leads by 0.3: a 5.3-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Colom ahead
- Poll with Hyde-Smith ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Colom | Hyde-Smith | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research for Government that Works PACD-sponsored | Oct 21–Oct 22 | 842 LV | 40 | 43 | R+3 | R+4.9 | −3.3 | B+ | NYT |
| Data for Progress for Way to Lead PACD-sponsoredMain question · in average | Aug 5–Aug 15 | 1,018 LV | 38 | 44 | R+6 | R+9.2 | −6.3 | B | chartingthewayforward.substack.com ↗ |
| Data for Progress for Way to Lead PACD-sponsoredfield: Colom, Hyde-Smith | Aug 5–Aug 15 | 1,018 LV | 41 | 47 | R+6 | — | −6.3 | B | chartingthewayforward.substack.com ↗ |
| Impact Research for SPLC Action FundD-sponsored | Apr 8–Apr 12 | 500 LV | 39 | 42 | R+3 | R+2.8 | −3.3 | C | splcactionfund.org ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 22, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Scott Colom
- 14%
- Cindy Hyde-Smith
- 86%
- Projected margin
- R+7.3
The candidates
District attorney for the 16th Judicial District of Mississippi (2016–present)Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Incumbent U.S. senator
Also on the ballot: Ty Pinkins (Independent), 2.1%