99chambers
Called Nov 3Unofficial results

U.S. Senate in Massachusetts

U.S. Senate · Massachusetts

Edward J. Markey won re-election by 31.2 points over John Deaton.

Edward J. MarkeyDemocrat · winner · incumbent
63.4%1,650,772
John DeatonRepublican
32.1%837,152
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent
2.3%59,837
Joe TacheParty for Socialism and Liberation
2.2%56,530
91% of the expected vote counted · 2,604,291 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 2:10 AM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Markey compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 14 of 14 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Bristol, +11.3 points.

R+60R+60R+30R+30EvenEvenD+30D+30D+60D+60Moved toward Democrats ↑↓ Moved toward RepublicansMiddlesexWorcesterEssexNorfolkPlymouthSuffolk2024 presidential margin →2026 margin →

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

EvenD+33.22020 SenateD+25.92024 Pres.D+31.22026 Senate

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift
MiddlesexD+44.1+5.4
WorcesterD+16.2+6.4
EssexD+29.1+9.0
NorfolkD+31.4+3.2
PlymouthD+12.9+4.2
SuffolkD+59.7+8.1
BristolD+12.6+11.3
HampdenD+18.2+9.4
Show 6 more
BarnstableD+22.2+1.7
HampshireD+45.3+3.9
BerkshireD+48.4+9.1
FranklinD+42.9+5.6
DukesD+56.3+4.5
NantucketD+45.2+8.7

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Ed MarkeyJohn Deaton
$6M
Raised by the campaign
$1.7M
$7M
Spent by the campaign
$1.2M
$799.9K
Cash on hand
$488.2K
$42.9K
Outside spending for them
$644.5K
$0
Outside spending against their opponent
$3.4M
$6M
All money helping them
$5.7M

Other candidates' campaigns: Joe Tache $285.4K.

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

ADVANCE PROGRESSAgainst Markey$3.3M
COMMONWEALTH PROSPERITY FUNDFor Deaton, against Markey$706K
NRDC Action VotesFor Markey$25K
National Association of Realtors Political Action CommitteeFor Markey$17.9K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Markey ahead by 26.5. Markey won by 31.2: a 4.7-point miss toward Republicans.

R+20EvenD+20Result D+31.2Final average D+26.5Dec 1Jan 1Feb 1Mar 1Apr 1May 1Jun 1Jul 1Aug 1Sep 1Oct 1Nov 3
  • Poll with Markey ahead
  • Poll with Deaton ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSampleMarkeyDeatonMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
University of New HampshireOct 27–Oct 31877 LV5332D+21D+22.9−10.2Cscholars.unh.edu ↗
Suffolk University for Boston GlobeOct 14–Oct 18500 LV6031.8D+28.2D+28.6−3.0Asuffolk.edu ↗
UMass LowellOct 7–Oct 18850 LV5526D+29D+32.8−2.2Buml.edu ↗
YouGov for UMass Amherst, WCVB-TVOct 5–Oct 12800 RV5629D+27D+30.8−4.2Bumass.edu ↗
MassINC Polling Group for Commonwealth BeaconSep 14–Sep 22800 LV5428D+26D+30.1−5.2Acommonwealthbeacon.org ↗
University of New HampshireSep 17–Sep 21556 LV5330D+23D+26.1−8.2Cscholars.unh.edu ↗
University of New Hampshire for 7NewsAug 20–Aug 24906 LV4930D+19—−12.2Cscholars.unh.edu ↗
YouGov for UMass Amherst, WCVB-TVAug 5–Aug 12800 RV5130D+21—−10.2Bumass.edu ↗
University of New HampshireJun 18–Jun 23618 LV5034D+16—−15.2Cscholars.unh.edu ↗
Suffolk University for Boston GlobeJun 8–Jun 12500 RV5529.8D+25.2—−6.0Asuffolk.edu ↗
University of New HampshireApr 16–Apr 20603 LV5532D+23—−8.2Cscholars.unh.edu ↗
University of New HampshireFeb 12–Feb 16616 LV5627D+29—−2.2Cscholars.unh.edu ↗
Cygnal for John Deaton's campaignR-sponsoredJan 22–Jan 25800 LV5430D+24—−7.2A+politico.com ↗
Suffolk University for Boston GlobeNov 19–Nov 23500 RV5431D+23—−8.2Asuffolk.edu ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 31, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Ed Markey
>99%
John Deaton
<1%
Projected margin
D+28.5
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Edward J. Markey (D)John Deaton (R)
Attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024

Also on the ballot: Shiva Ayyadurai (Independent), 2.3%; Joe Tache (Party for Socialism and Liberation), 2.2%

Also on this ballot here

GovernorD+27.2
Attorney GeneralD+31.1
Secretary of StateD+42.5
TreasurerD+31.8

Results within this state. Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Markey.