UMass Lowell

Polls

44 in 4 races

Grade

BAccuracy in past elections, A+ to D (how)

House effect, 2026

D+2.3Against other polls, in today's forecast

House effect, past elections

R+0.2Against other polls of the same races

Based on 2 polls of 2 races taken in the last three weeks before elections from 2016: they missed the final margin by 1.5 points on average, 0.1 points more than other polls of the same races.

Its polls run 2.3 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.

In past elections its polls ran 0.2 points more Republican than other polls of the same races; today's estimate starts from that.