Nevada Treasurer
Treasurer · Nevada
Tya Mathis-Coleman held the seat for Democrats, winning by 12.5 points over Drew Johnson.
Source: Nevada Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Mathis-Coleman compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 17 of 17 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Clark, +18.4 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 9 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Mathis-Coleman ahead by 1.0. Mathis-Coleman won by 12.5: a 11.5-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Mathis-Coleman ahead
- Poll with Johnson ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Mathis-Coleman | Johnson | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive InsightsMain question | Sep 22–Sep 26 | 800 RV | 37 | 33 | D+4 | — | −8.5 | A | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
| Noble Predictive InsightsMain question · in average | Sep 22–Sep 26 | 708 LV | 40 | 39 | D+1 | D+1.0 | −11.5 | A | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 26, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Tya Mathis-Coleman
- 82%
- Drew Johnson
- 18%
- Projected margin
- D+5.7
The candidates
Also on this ballot here
| Governor | D+7.7 |
| Lieutenant Governor | D+13.7 |
| Attorney General | D+15.4 |
| Secretary of State | D+18.0 |
| Comptroller | D+11.3 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Nevada Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET