2026 election for Nevada Secretary of State
Secretary of State · Nevada
Cisco Aguilar (D) won re-election with 57.8% of the vote, defeating Jim Marchant (R) by 18.0 points.
Source: Nevada Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Aguilar compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 17 of 17 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Clark, +22.9 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 9 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Aguilar ahead by 13.7. Aguilar won by 18.0: a 4.3-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Aguilar ahead
- Poll with Marchant ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Aguilar | Marchant | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | Oct 26–Oct 28 | 487 LV | 51 | 38 | D+13 | D+14.4 | −5.0 | A | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
| Noble Predictive InsightsMain question | Sep 22–Sep 26 | 800 RV | 41 | 32 | D+9 | — | −9.0 | A | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
| Noble Predictive InsightsMain question · in average | Sep 22–Sep 26 | 708 LV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | D+8.4 | −11.0 | A | noblepredictiveinsights.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 28, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Cisco Aguilar
- 98%
- Jim Marchant
- 2%
- Projected margin
- D+12.1
The candidates
Incumbent secretary of stateJim Marchant (R)
Former state assemblyman from the 37th district (2016–2018), nominee for Secretary of State in 2022, and perennial candidate
Also on the ballot: Brad Lee Barnhill (Independent American), 1.5%; John T. Kennedy (Libertarian), 0.9%
Also on this ballot here
| Governor | D+7.7 |
| Lieutenant Governor | D+13.7 |
| Attorney General | D+15.4 |
| Treasurer | D+12.5 |
| Comptroller | D+11.3 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Nevada Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET