2026CalledUnofficial results

2026 election for Idaho Secretary of State

Secretary of State · Idaho

Phil McGrane (R) won re-election with 67.4% of the vote, defeating Shawn Keenan (D) by 34.8 points.

Phil McGraneRepublican · winner · incumbent
67.4%472,356
Shawn KeenanDemocrat
32.6%228,585
700,941 votes

Source: Idaho Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

Every county, 2024 to 2026

Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Keenan compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 30 of 44 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Minidoka, +13.4 points.

R+80R+80R+40R+40EvenEvenD+40D+40D+80D+80Moved toward Democrats ↑↓ Moved toward RepublicansAdaCanyonKootenaiBonnevilleBannockTwin Falls2024 presidential margin →2026 margin →

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

The seat's recent races

EvenR+25.12018R+44.72022R+37.52024 Pres.R+34.82026

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

By county

CountyShareMarginShift
AdaR+18.6−8.4
CanyonR+40.6+5.3
KootenaiR+50.8+0.4
BonnevilleR+36.1+8.6
BannockR+12.4+12.4
Twin FallsR+43.8+4.3
BonnerR+45.0+0.5
LatahR+9.5−1.7
Show 36 more
BinghamR+51.1+7.9
Nez PerceR+34.2+4.0
JeffersonR+68.1+4.3
BlaineD+29.1−2.1
MadisonR+62.1+1.0
PayetteR+61.1+1.1
GemR+67.3−2.0
IdahoR+67.5−0.6
ElmoreR+42.6+5.6
CassiaR+60.5+7.9
JeromeR+41.1+12.0
ValleyR+27.4−9.1
TetonD+15.9+9.1
MinidokaR+49.2+13.4
BoundaryR+65.1−1.0
FremontR+64.3+3.9
FranklinR+73.0+3.4
ShoshoneR+39.2+9.5
WashingtonR+65.0−4.2
GoodingR+52.8+7.1
BenewahR+59.0+1.5
BoiseR+56.8−2.9
LemhiR+50.0+4.4
OwyheeR+61.9+5.3
ClearwaterR+59.9+2.3
CaribouR+69.0+0.9
PowerR+36.4+8.0
Bear LakeR+72.3+3.3
AdamsR+57.4−3.8
CusterR+56.0−3.3
OneidaR+76.3−0.9
LewisR+68.9−4.8
LincolnR+48.8+6.6
ButteR+68.4+3.4
CamasR+57.6−3.9
ClarkR+57.8+10.0

Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.

Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Shawn Keenan
<1%
Phil McGrane
>99%
Projected margin
R+29.6
How the forecast works →

Also on this ballot here

U.S. SenateR+23.0
GovernorR+24.7
Lieutenant GovernorR+27.0
Attorney GeneralR+19.7
TreasurerR+31.0
ComptrollerR+32.4

Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: Idaho Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:21 PM ET