Virginia's 2nd District
U.S. House · Virginia
Elaine Luria flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 8.5 points over Jen Kiggans.
Source: Virginia Department of Elections unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:22 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| HMPFor Luria, against Kiggans | $4.7M | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Kiggans, against Luria | $3.3M | |
| Giffords PACAgainst Kiggans | $922K | |
| DMFI PACAgainst Kiggans | $900K | |
| Progressive Turnout ProjectFor Luria | $793.4K | |
| America PACFor Kiggans, against Luria | $574.6K | |
| 314 Action FundAgainst Kiggans | $513.6K | |
| American Association of Nurse Anesthetists Separate Segregated Fund (CRNA-PAC)For Kiggans | $260.3K | |
| VoteVetsAgainst Kiggans | $260K | |
| PROGRESSIVE CHAMPIONS PACAgainst Luria | $238.3K | |
| LCV Victory FundFor Luria | $174.1K | |
| The Governing Majority FundAgainst Luria | $102.6K | |
| AB PACFor Luria | $41.5K |
Show 5 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Luria ahead by 3.3. Luria won by 8.5: a 5.2-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Luria ahead
- Poll with Kiggans ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Luria | Kiggans | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Newport University | Oct 1–Oct 10 | 702 LV | 46 | 43 | D+3 | D+3.3 | −5.5 | B− | cnu.edu ↗ |
| Tulchin Research for House Majority PACD-sponsored | Jul 9–Jul 13 | 700 LV | 47 | 47 | Even | R+1.4 | −8.5 | A− | politico.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 10, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Elaine Luria
- 78%
- Jen Kiggans
- 22%
- Projected margin
- D+4.5
The candidates
Former U.S. representative (2019–2023)Jen Kiggans (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative
Also on the ballot: J. Matt Baker (Independent), 1.4%; Geral D. "Bishop" Staten (Independent), 0.9%; Write-in (Other party), 0.1%