Tennessee's 9th District
U.S. House · Tennessee
Brent Taylor flipped the seat for Republicans, winning by 1.1 points over Justin Pearson.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Ready for the FightFor Pearson, against Taylor | $2.5M | |
| CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC.For Taylor, against Pearson | $1.5M | |
| THREE STAR PACAgainst Taylor | $479.3K | |
| CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC.For Taylor, against Pearson | $450.6K | |
| Working Families Party PACFor Pearson, against Taylor | $197.1K | |
| BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PACFor Pearson | $140K | |
| TENNESSEE RISE PACFor Pearson | $100K | |
| TENNESSEE IMMIGRANT AND REFUGEE RIGHTS COALITION VOTES ACTION PACFor Pearson | $93.8K | |
| National Nurses United for Patient ProtectionFor Pearson | $58K | |
| Charter Schools Action PACFor Taylor | $46.1K | |
| SAVE AMERICAN FREEDOMFor Taylor | $34.5K | |
| GOPAC Election FundFor Taylor | $31.6K |
Show 4 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Taylor ahead by 10.1. Taylor won by 1.1: a 9.0-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Pearson ahead
- Poll with Taylor ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Pearson | Taylor | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates for Tennessee Rise PAC, Three Star PACD-sponsored | Sep 1–Sep 3 | 400 LV | 44 | 48 | R+4 | R+10.1 | −2.9 | — | drive.google.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Sep 3, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Justin Pearson
- 5%
- Brent Taylor
- 95%
- Projected margin
- R+9.8
The candidates
State senator from the 31st district (2023–present) and candidate for the 7th district in 2002Justin Pearson (D)
State representative from the 86th district (2023, 2023–present)
Also on the ballot: Dennis Clark (Independent), 1.1%; Michelle Davis Head (Independent), 0.8%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Taylor.