Flipped from RepublicanCalledUnofficial resultsIncumbent defeated

Ohio's 7th District

U.S. House · Ohio

Brian Poindexter flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 9.9 points over Max Miller.

Brian PoindexterDemocrat · winner
54.9%180,614
Max MillerRepublican · incumbent
45.0%148,177
Andrey Joseph MartinichinOther party
0.1%237
Thahbia AsadOther party
0.0%5
329,033 votes

Source: Ohio Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenR+11.12024 Pres.D+9.92026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Brian PoindexterMax Miller
$3.7M
Raised by the campaign
$3.3M
$2.9M
Spent by the campaign
$3.4M
$793.7K
Cash on hand
$135.6K
$1.3M
Outside spending for them
$707.6K
$10.3M
Outside spending against their opponent
$1.1M
$15.4M
All money helping them
$5.1M

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

HMPAgainst Miller$6.8M
YOUR COMMUNITY PACAgainst Miller$2M
JOBS & PROSPERITY PACFor Miller, against Poindexter$964.3K
Ready for the Fight PACAgainst Miller$727.9K
CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC.For Miller, against Poindexter$524.9K
JOBS AND DEMOCRACY PACFor Poindexter$512.5K
AB PACAgainst Miller$500.5K
Progressive Turnout ProjectFor Poindexter$379.8K
BDA PACFor Poindexter$198K
RETIRED AMERICANS ACTIONAgainst Miller$179.9K
America PACAgainst Poindexter$115.1K
AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC.Against Poindexter$54.9K
American Liberty Foundation PACFor Miller$52.8K
Show 5 more

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Polls against the result

The final average had Poindexter ahead by 5.8. Poindexter won by 9.9: a 4.1-point miss toward Republicans.

R+10EvenD+10Result D+9.9Final average D+5.8Jul 1Aug 1Sep 1Oct 1Nov 3
  • Poll with Poindexter ahead
  • Poll with Miller ahead
  • Final polling average
  • Result
PollsterDatesSamplePoindexterMillerMarginAdjustedMiss vs resultGradeRelease
Bedrock Polling for Iron Workers International, The Next 50D-sponsoredAug 7–Aug 10866 LV4335D+8D+6.7−1.9—axios.com ↗
Tavern ResearchAug 4–Aug 4635 LV5446D+8D+4.6−1.9—242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net ↗
GBAO for Brian Poindexter's campaignD-sponsoredJun 16–Jun 20500 LV4344R+1R+1.1−10.9Cpolitico.com ↗

Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).

Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Aug 10, 2026

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Brian Poindexter
54%
Max Miller
46%
Projected margin
D+0.6
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Brian Poindexter (D)
Ironworker and Brook Park city councilman
Max Miller (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative (2023–present)

Also on the ballot: Andrey Joseph Martinichin (Other party), 0.1%; Thahbia Asad (Other party), 0.0%