New Mexico's 2nd District
U.S. House · New Mexico
Gabe Vasquez won re-election by 17.5 points over Greg Cunningham.
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Ready for the FightAgainst Cunningham | $3.5M | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.For Cunningham, against Vasquez | $1.4M | |
| HMPAgainst Cunningham | $851.6K | |
| CHC BOLD PACAgainst Cunningham | $785.9K | |
| BOLD AmericaAgainst Cunningham | $525.9K | |
| CIVIC RENEWAL FUND INC.For Cunningham, against Vasquez | $483.7K | |
| New Democrat MajorityAgainst Cunningham | $258K | |
| WILDERNESS ACTION, INC.For Vasquez | $132.5K | |
| Common Ground Coalition PACFor Vasquez | $102.4K | |
| RETIRED AMERICANS ACTIONAgainst Cunningham | $65.7K | |
| CLFAgainst Vasquez | $51.2K | |
| MAGA INC.Against Vasquez | $50K |
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Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Vasquez ahead by 5.5. Vasquez won by 17.5: a 12.0-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Vasquez ahead
- Poll with Cunningham ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Vasquez | Cunningham | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. for Albuquerque Journal | Oct 1–Oct 9 | 383 LV | 48 | 44 | D+4 | D+5.7 | −13.5 | A+ | abqjournal.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KOB-TV (Albuquerque) | Aug 28–Sep 2 | 554 LV | 46 | 43 | D+3 | D+4.0 | −14.5 | A | link ↗ |
| co/efficient for NRCCR-sponsored | Apr 26–Apr 28 | 879 LV | 43 | 41 | D+2 | D+9.6 | −15.5 | B+ | politico.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 9, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Gabe Vasquez
- 90%
- Greg Cunningham
- 10%
- Projected margin
- D+8.6