New Mexico's 1st District
U.S. House · New Mexico
Melanie Stansbury won re-election by 27.3 points over Didi Okpareke.
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. No FEC filings matched for Didi Okpareke.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Oct 14, 2026
Polls against the result
The final average had Stansbury ahead by 21.8. Stansbury won by 27.3: a 5.5-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Stansbury ahead
- Poll with Okpareke ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Stansbury | Okpareke | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. for Albuquerque Journal | Oct 1–Oct 9 | 380 LV | 53 | 35 | D+18 | D+21.8 | −9.3 | A+ | abqjournal.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 9, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Melanie Stansbury
- >99%
- Didi Okpareke
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+22.6