New Jersey's 2nd District
U.S. House · New Jersey
Zack Mullock flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 2.7 points over Jeff Van Drew.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| Project 218Against Drew | $1.3M | |
| Project 218For Drew | $485K | |
| AB PACFor Mullock | $251.7K | |
| Invest in Tomorrow Coalition PACAgainst Drew | $182.3K | |
| THE TURNOUT PROJECTFor Mullock | $100K | |
| Voice of the Electorate (VOTE)For Mullock | $50.8K | |
| American Represenative MajorityAgainst Drew | $31.2K | |
| Working AmericaFor Mullock, against Drew | $31.1K | |
| Working Families Party PACAgainst Drew | $20K | |
| NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PACFor Drew | $1.1K |
Show 2 more
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Drew ahead by 11.7. Mullock won by 2.7: a 14.4-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Mullock ahead
- Poll with Drew ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Mullock | Drew | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research for House Majority PACD-sponsored | Oct 7–Oct 10 | — LV | 40 | 50 | R+10 | R+11.7 | −12.7 | C | newjerseyglobe.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 10, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Zack Mullock
- 10%
- Jeff Van Drew
- 90%
- Projected margin
- R+7.8
The candidates
Mayor of Cape May (2021–present)Jeff Van Drew (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative
Also on the ballot: Ramon Mora Jr. (Independent), 1.1%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.0%; Tim Alexander (Independent), 0.0%; Andres Jinete (Independent), 0.0%; Layla Narzikulov (Independent), 0.0%; Joe Kent (Independent), 0.0%; Jenna Weber (Independent), 0.0%
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Mullock.