99chambers
Called Nov 3Unofficial results

New Jersey's 3rd District

U.S. House · New Jersey

Herb Conaway won re-election by 27.3 points over Michael McGuire.

Herb ConawayDemocrat · winner · incumbent
62.6%172,864
Michael McGuireRepublican
35.3%97,505
Ryan Michael KellyIndependent
1.3%3,669
Steven WelzerGreen
0.6%1,710
Write-inNonpartisan
0.1%194
Jason CullenOther party
0.0%15
Thomas MassieOther party
0.0%2
Aaron MitchellOther party
0.0%2
Fred A. Hartley Jr.Other party
0.0%2
No OneOther party
0.0%2
Gary StoutOther party
0.0%1
William BishopOther party
0.0%1
Joseph Koreg Jr.Other party
0.0%1
Caileigh ValigOther party
0.0%1
Denise TrautmannOther party
0.0%1
Fred PorterOther party
0.0%1
Birdi ZasoskiOther party
0.0%1
Anna EvansOther party
0.0%1
Orion PaxOther party
0.0%1
Kevin CuretonOther party
0.0%1
Anthony ChigounisOther party
0.0%1
Joseph C DefeoOther party
0.0%1
Peter ToichOther party
0.0%1
Adam HamawyOther party
0.0%1
Laura FitzgeraldOther party
0.0%1
John QuinonesOther party
0.0%1
UndecidedOther party
0.0%1
Lana LeguiaOther party
0.0%1
Joseph D. Quinn IIOther party
0.0%1
Steven BowkerOther party
0.0%1
Hind RajabOther party
0.0%1
Richard A. CoupeOther party
0.0%1
Ayishat AkanbiOther party
0.0%1
Jerry L. WoodardOther party
0.0%1
Al RoachOther party
0.0%1
John PottsOther party
0.0%1
MomOther party
0.0%1
Brendan MeyersOther party
0.0%1
Dan KennedyOther party
0.0%1
Jason MethodOther party
0.0%1
Seamus O'toolOther party
0.0%1
Gerrad Doran Jr.Other party
0.0%1
Nancy BerkleyOther party
0.0%1
Troy GreenOther party
0.0%1
VerstappanOther party
0.0%1
Muhhamad Jawaad HussianOther party
0.0%1
Matthew ChristOther party
0.0%1
Emily ConnerlyOther party
0.0%1
Michael YekenchikOther party
0.0%1
Richard EvanoOther party
0.0%1
John FerryOther party
0.0%1
82% of the expected vote counted · 276,006 votes

Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Where the race moved

Against the 2024 presidential vote

The seat's recent races

EvenD+11.82022 HouseD+8.62024 HouseD+8.32024 Pres.D+27.32026 House

Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)

Money in this race

Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.

Herb ConawayMichael McGuire
$1.2M
Raised by the campaign
$221.3K
$753.7K
Spent by the campaign
$204.7K
$436.3K
Cash on hand
$16.6K
$0
Outside spending for them
$1.1K
$0
Outside spending against their opponent
$14.2K
$1.2M
All money helping them
$236.6K

Top funders

Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.

Fortify New JerseyAgainst Conaway$14.2K
NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PACFor McGuire$1.1K

Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.

Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)

Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.

Herb Conaway
99%
Michael McGuire
1%
Projected margin
D+19.5
How the forecast works →

The candidates

Herb Conaway (D)
Incumbent U.S. representativeMichael McGuire (R)
U.S. Marine Corps veteran

Also on the ballot: Ryan Michael Kelly (Independent), 1.3%; Steven Welzer (Green), 0.6%; Write-in (Nonpartisan), 0.1%; Jason Cullen (Other party), 0.0%; Thomas Massie (Other party), 0.0%; Aaron Mitchell (Other party), 0.0%; Fred A. Hartley Jr. (Other party), 0.0%; No One (Other party), 0.0%; Gary Stout (Other party), 0.0%; William Bishop (Other party), 0.0%; Joseph Koreg Jr. (Other party), 0.0%; Caileigh Valig (Other party), 0.0%; Denise Trautmann (Other party), 0.0%; Fred Porter (Other party), 0.0%; Birdi Zasoski (Other party), 0.0%; Anna Evans (Other party), 0.0%; Orion Pax (Other party), 0.0%; Kevin Cureton (Other party), 0.0%; Anthony Chigounis (Other party), 0.0%; Joseph C Defeo (Other party), 0.0%; Peter Toich (Other party), 0.0%; Adam Hamawy (Other party), 0.0%; Laura Fitzgerald (Other party), 0.0%; John Quinones (Other party), 0.0%; Undecided (Other party), 0.0%; Lana Leguia (Other party), 0.0%; Joseph D. Quinn II (Other party), 0.0%; Steven Bowker (Other party), 0.0%; Hind Rajab (Other party), 0.0%; Richard A. Coupe (Other party), 0.0%; Ayishat Akanbi (Other party), 0.0%; Jerry L. Woodard (Other party), 0.0%; Al Roach (Other party), 0.0%; John Potts (Other party), 0.0%; Mom (Other party), 0.0%; Brendan Meyers (Other party), 0.0%; Dan Kennedy (Other party), 0.0%; Jason Method (Other party), 0.0%; Seamus O'tool (Other party), 0.0%; Gerrad Doran Jr. (Other party), 0.0%; Nancy Berkley (Other party), 0.0%; Troy Green (Other party), 0.0%; Verstappan (Other party), 0.0%; Muhhamad Jawaad Hussian (Other party), 0.0%; Matthew Christ (Other party), 0.0%; Emily Connerly (Other party), 0.0%; Michael Yekenchik (Other party), 0.0%; Richard Evano (Other party), 0.0%; John Ferry (Other party), 0.0%

Changes to this page

  • · Race called for Conaway.