Iowa's 1st District
U.S. House · Iowa
Christina Bohannan flipped the seat for Democrats, winning by 9.2 points over Mariannette Miller-Meeks.
Source: Iowa Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Other candidates' campaigns: Michael Bridgford $338.3K.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| SD 2026Against Miller-Meeks | $1.6M | |
| EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND)For Bohannan | $1.5M | |
| 314 Action FundAgainst Miller-Meeks | $1M | |
| AB PACAgainst Miller-Meeks | $972.2K | |
| Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. (AFP Action) DBA CVA Action and DBA LIBRE ActionFor Miller-Meeks, against Bohannan | $684.2K | |
| HMPAgainst Miller-Meeks | $619.2K | |
| LCV Victory FundAgainst Miller-Meeks | $519.4K | |
| CFFE PACFor Bohannan | $411K | |
| One For All CommitteeFor Bohannan | $362.4K | |
| NO GOING BACK PAC INC.Against Bohannan | $331.3K | |
| America PACAgainst Bohannan | $282.6K |
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Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Miller-Meeks ahead by 0.4. Bohannan won by 9.2: a 9.6-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Bohannan ahead
- Poll with Miller-Meeks ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Bohannan | Miller-Meeks | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bullfinch Group for Independent Center, Independent Leadership Council | Jul 13–Jul 16 | 705 LV | 40 | 35 | D+5 | R+0.4 | −4.2 | C− | independentcentervoice.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Jul 16, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Christina Bohannan
- 52%
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks
- 48%
- Projected margin
- D+0.3
The candidates
Former state representative from the 85th district (2021–2023) and nominee for this district in 2022 and 2024Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
Incumbent U.S. representative (2021–present)
Also on the ballot: Michael Bridgford (Independent), 3.6%; Write-in (Other party), 0.1%