Illinois Governor
Governor · Illinois
JB Pritzker won re-election by 23.5 points over Darren Bailey.
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Pritzker compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 54 of 102 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: Cook, +20.5 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 94 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Pritzker ahead by 20.8. Pritzker won by 23.5: a 2.7-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Pritzker ahead
- Poll with Bailey ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Pritzker | Bailey | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | Oct 31–Nov 2 | 450 LV | 57 | 36 | D+21 | D+22.1 | −2.5 | A | researchco.ca ↗ |
| ActiVote | Oct 23–Oct 31 | 400 LV | 59 | 41 | D+18 | D+18.9 | −5.5 | A− | activote.net ↗ |
| ActiVote | Oct 2–Oct 22 | 400 LV | 58.7 | 41.3 | D+17.4 | D+18.4 | −6.1 | A− | activote.net ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for Chicago News Weekly | Sep 30–Oct 1 | 569 RV | 54 | 34 | D+20 | D+22.2 | −3.5 | B+ | cnwmedia.com ↗ |
| Victory Research | Nov 20–Nov 24 | 1,200 LV | 54.3 | 34 | D+20.3 | D+25.1 | −3.2 | C | fox32chicago.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 2, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- JB Pritzker
- >99%
- Darren Bailey
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+20.6
The candidates
Incumbent governor (2019–present)Darren Bailey (R)
Former state senator from the 55th district (2021–2023), nominee for governor in 2022, and candidate for Illinois's 12th congressional district in 2024
Also on the ballot: Collin Corbett (Independent), 3.4%
Also on this ballot here
| U.S. Senate | D+24.3 |
| Attorney General | D+23.2 |
| Secretary of State | D+29.5 |
| Treasurer | D+24.3 |
| Comptroller | D+22.1 |
Results within this state. Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Pritzker.