2024 election for Pennsylvania's 7th District
U.S. House · Pennsylvania
Ryan Mackenzie (R) won with 50.5% of the vote, defeating Susan Wild (D) by 1.0 points, flipping a seat Democrats held.
Source: MIT Election Data and Science LabUpdated Oct 1, 2026, 3:26 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2024
Races before and after
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Dec 31, 2024.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Dec 31, 2024
Polls against the result
- Poll with Wild ahead
- Poll with Mackenzie ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Wild | Mackenzie | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College for The Morning Call | Sep 30–Oct 3 | 459 LV | 51 | 45 | D+6 | — | +7.0 | A | muhlenberg.edu ↗ |
| Change Research for Future Majority PACD-sponsored | Sep 16–Sep 23 | 592 LV | 47 | 43 | D+4 | — | +5.0 | B+ | futuremajority.org ↗ |
| Change Research for Future Majority PACD-sponsored | Aug 10–Aug 17 | 406 LV | 47 | 43 | D+4 | — | +5.0 | B+ | futuremajority.org ↗ |
| Tarrance Group for the National Republican Congressional Committee and Mackenzie's campaignR-sponsored | Jul 21–Jul 24 | 404 LV | 47 | 45 | D+2 | — | +3.0 | A+ | politico.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 3, 2024