2024 election for Alaska's at-large District
U.S. House · Alaska
Nick Begich III (R) won with 48.5% of the vote, defeating Mary Peltola (D) by 2.0 points, flipping a seat Democrats held.
RCVSource: MIT Election Data and Science LabUpdated Oct 1, 2026, 3:26 AM ET
The seat over time
D − R margin in this seat's races around 2024
Races before and after
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two campaigns on one scale.
Campaign money: FEC, through Dec 31, 2024.
Source: FEC campaign filingsUpdated Dec 31, 2024
Polls against the result
- Poll with Peltola ahead
- Poll with Begich ahead
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Peltola | Begich | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal for Begich's campaign and the NRCCR-sponsoredfield: III, Peltola, Hafner, Howe | Oct 14–Oct 16 | 400 LV | 44.5 | 49.1 | R+4.6 | — | −3.6 | A+ | politico.com ↗ |
| Cygnal for Begich's campaign and the NRCCR-sponsoredFinal round · in average | Oct 14–Oct 16 | 400 LV | 47.9 | 52.1 | R+4.2 | — | −3.2 | A+ | politico.com ↗ |
| American Viewpoint for the NRCCR-sponsored | Sep 14–Sep 17 | 400 LV | 40 | 44 | R+4 | — | −3.0 | A− | politico.com ↗ |
| Cygnal for Begich's campaign and the NRCCR-sponsored | Aug 30–Sep 1 | 400 LV | 46 | 45 | D+1 | — | +2.0 | A+ | nationaljournal.com ↗ |
| American Viewpoint for the NRCCR-sponsored | Aug 1–Aug 31 | 400 LV | 45 | 39 | D+6 | — | +7.0 | A− | politico.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 16, 2024
The candidates
Also on the ballot: John Wayne Howe (Independent), 4.0%; Eric Hafner (Democrat), 1.0%