U.S. Senate in New Mexico
U.S. Senate · New Mexico
Ben Ray Luján won re-election by 26.5 points over Larry Marker.
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Luján compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 33 of 33 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: McKinley, +32.5 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 25 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| AB PACFor Luján | $217.4K | |
| WORKERS EN ACCION PACFor Luján | $57K |
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Luján ahead by 19.8. Luján won by 26.5: a 6.7-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Luján ahead
- Poll with Marker ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Luján | Marker | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | Oct 31–Nov 2 | 450 LV | 56 | 37 | D+19 | D+19.9 | −7.5 | A | researchco.ca ↗ |
| Research & Polling Inc. for Albuquerque Journal | Oct 1–Oct 9 | 1,125 LV | 53 | 37 | D+16 | D+19.1 | −10.5 | A+ | abqjournal.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KOB-TV (Albuquerque) | Sep 25–Sep 30 | 567 LV | 54 | 36 | D+18 | D+19.7 | −8.5 | A | kob.com ↗ |
| Research & Polling Inc. for Albuquerque Journal | Aug 21–Aug 28 | 516 LV | 53 | 38 | D+15 | D+18.5 | −11.5 | A+ | abqjournal.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 2, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Ben Ray Luján
- >99%
- Larry Marker
- <1%
- Projected margin
- D+19.8
The candidates
Also on this ballot here
| Governor | D+14.7 |
| Attorney General | D+26.0 |
| Secretary of State | D+21.9 |
| Treasurer | D+19.6 |
| Auditor | D+21.0 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: New Mexico Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET