New Mexico Governor
Governor · New Mexico
Deb Haaland held the seat for Democrats, winning by 14.7 points over Gregg Hull.
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State unofficial resultsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
Every county, 2024 to 2026
Each dot is a county, sized by votes cast and colored by who carried it in 2026. Dots above the line moved toward Haaland compared with the 2024 presidential vote; 31 of 33 did. The largest shift among the bigger counties: McKinley, +20.1 points.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
By county
Show 25 more
Bar: share of the state's vote. Shift: change in margin from the 2024 presidential vote, + toward Democrats.
Source: civicAPI county results (unofficial); 2024 president: MEDSL precinct returnsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Haaland ahead by 7.3. Haaland won by 14.7: a 7.4-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Haaland ahead
- Poll with Hull ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Haaland | Hull | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | Oct 31–Nov 2 | 450 LV | 51 | 44 | D+7 | D+6.9 | −7.7 | A | researchco.ca ↗ |
| Research & Polling Inc. for Albuquerque Journal | Oct 1–Oct 9 | 1,125 LV | 49 | 42 | D+7 | D+9.0 | −7.7 | A+ | abqjournal.com ↗ |
| SurveyUSA for KOB-TV (Albuquerque) | Sep 25–Sep 30 | 567 LV | 47 | 41 | D+6 | D+6.5 | −8.7 | A | kob.com ↗ |
| Research & Polling Inc. for Albuquerque Journal | Aug 21–Aug 28 | 516 LV | 49 | 43 | D+6 | D+8.6 | −8.7 | A+ | abqjournal.com ↗ |
| BSP Research | Jul 22–Aug 7 | 800 RV | 41 | 24 | D+17 | D+22.8 | +2.3 | C | bspresearch.substack.com ↗ |
| McLaughlin & Associates for Gregg Hull's campaignR-sponsored | Jul 13–Jul 15 | 400 LV | 46 | 45 | D+1 | D+9.0 | −13.7 | C− | santafenewmexican.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Nov 2, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Deb Haaland
- 91%
- Gregg Hull
- 9%
- Projected margin
- D+9.1
The candidates
Also on this ballot here
| U.S. Senate | D+26.5 |
| Attorney General | D+26.0 |
| Secretary of State | D+21.9 |
| Treasurer | D+19.6 |
| Auditor | D+21.0 |
Results within this state. Source: Results and race calls: New Mexico Secretary of State (unofficial)Updated Nov 7, 2026, 12:46 PM ET