U.S. Senate in Louisiana
U.S. Senate · Louisiana
Julia Letlow held the seat for Republicans, winning by 1.8 points over Jamie Davis.
Closed party primaries for U.S. Senate
Source: civicAPI unofficial results and race callsUpdated Nov 7, 2026, 2:10 AM ET
Where the race moved
Against the 2024 presidential vote
The seat's recent races
Source: Past results: 99chambers results archive (MEDSL, Klarner, state election offices)
Money in this race
Each line compares the two sides on one scale: their campaigns, and outside groups spending for them or against their opponent.
Top funders
Outside groups and direct contributors, ranked by what they put in; the color shows which candidate it helps.
| ACCOUNTABILITY PROJECT INCFor Letlow | $10.6M | |
| AMERICAN MISSIONFor Letlow | $1.2M | |
| SAVE AMERICAN FREEDOMFor Letlow | $963.4K | |
| LOUISIANA FREEDOM FUNDAgainst Letlow | $658.2K | |
| HIGH PLAINS PACFor Letlow | $365K | |
| FELLOWSHIP PACFor Letlow | $350K | |
| COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PACFor Letlow | $178.4K | |
| HOPE IN ACTION PACFor Letlow | $74.1K |
Campaign money: FEC, through Oct 14, 2026. Outside spending: independent expenditures by super PACs, parties and other groups, primary and general, as reported to the FEC through Nov 1, 2026, updated Nov 3, 2026. It leaves out spending not reported as independent expenditures (most issue ads and much dark money), so it understates all outside money. The FEC lists only each candidate's largest spenders; totals count every spender.
Source: FEC campaign filings; FEC independent expendituresUpdated Nov 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Polls against the result
The final average had Letlow ahead by 5.3. Letlow won by 1.8: a 3.5-point miss toward Republicans.
- Poll with Davis ahead
- Poll with Letlow ahead
- Final polling average
- Result
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Davis | Letlow | Margin | Adjusted | Miss vs result | Grade | Release |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Park Strategies for Louisiana Democratic PartyD-sponsored | Oct 29–Oct 31 | — LV | 47 | 47 | Even | R+4.0 | +1.8 | — | instagram.com ↗ |
| Hart Research Associates for Jamie Davis's campaignD-sponsored | Oct 28–Oct 29 | 502 LV | 45 | 45 | Even | R+6.6 | +1.8 | — | perdidostreet.news ↗ |
| Hart Research Associates for Jamie Davis's campaignD-sponsored | Sep 17–Sep 19 | 500 LV | 44 | 48 | R+4 | R+10.7 | −2.2 | — | bsky.app ↗ |
| Public Policy Polling for Jamie Davis's campaignD-sponsored | Jul 21–Jul 22 | 518 RV | 37 | 41 | R+4 | R+5.7 | −2.2 | B+ | bayouprogressive.com ↗ |
Adjusted: after correcting for the pollster's house effect and likely-voter screens. Miss: the poll's margin minus the result; + means the poll leaned Democratic. Grade: the pollster's accuracy in past elections, A+ to D (pollster ratings).
Source: Each poll's release, via The New York Times and Wikipedia poll listsUpdated Oct 31, 2026
Pre-election forecast (final, Nov 3)
Our model's last run before Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. It no longer updates.
- Jamie Davis
- 11%
- Julia Letlow
- 89%
- Projected margin
- R+7.6
The candidates
Changes to this page
- · Race called for Letlow.